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09/07/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Oakland has played well at home this season and nobody knows that better than the Mariners. The two AL West rivals will go at it again tonight in the second test of a three-game series from the Coliseum.
Oakland recorded its sixth straight win as the host in this series with Monday's 6-2 triumph over the Mariners. Coco Crisp and Matt Carson each hit a solo homer and Daric Barton contributed two hits and two runs scored for the Athletics, who have won three of four games on this nine-game residency.
A's starter Brett Anderson was solid through 7 2/3 innings, as he allowed only one run on four hits with four strikeouts. Craig Breslow and Andrew Bailey went the rest of the way to preserve the win and pull the Athletics seven games behind Texas for the AL West lead.
"It's good," Anderson said of ending his 0-4 slide in five starts. "I've pitched pretty good here lately and really haven't had much to show for it. It feels good to start off this series with a victory."
The Athletics will also host Boston for three games and are slated to send Dallas Braden to the hill this evening. Braden has gone the distance on five separate occasions this season and three times in his previous seven starts. He did not, however, make it past the fifth inning in last Thursday's 5-0 loss at Yankee Stadium.
Braden held New York to a run and two hits in five innings to suffer the loss, falling to 9-10 in 24 outings with a 3.23 ERA. The left-hander, who had won five of seven decisions before losing in the Bronx, defeated Seattle less than a month ago on August 11 at Safeco Field. Braden posted a complete game and yielded just a run and four hits in a 5-1 victory. He is 2-1 in six career meetings (five starts) with the Mariners.
Seattle has lost four of six games and opened its road trip on a bad note.
Jason Vargas lasted just 4 1/3 innings on the hill and was touched for five runs on seven hits and two walks in 4 1/3 innings to suffer the loss. Franklin Gutierrez homered and Jose Lopez knocked in a run for the Mariners.
"Probably in my last seven or eight starts, guys have been a lot more patient and I've been throwing a lot more fastballs to counter that," Vargas said. "I wish I would have thrown more pitches down today."
The Mariners will also visit the LA Angels of Anaheim for three games.
Scheduled to take the hill Tuesday for the cellar dwellers in the AL West is Doug Fister, who has lost three straight starts and is 1-10 with a 4.92 ERA in his last 16 starts. Seattle is 4-12 over that span and got a rough outing from Fister last Thursday in a 6-3 loss versus Cleveland. He gave up four runs and seven hits though 5 1/3 innings to fall to 4-11 in 23 starts this season.
Fister, a right-hander, defeated Oakland on August 9 this season with six innings of one-run ball in a 3-1 victory. He is 3-1 with a superb 1.50 earned run average in five career starts in this series.
Oakland has won six of seven meetings with the Mariners held at the Coliseum this year, as well as eight of 13 overall matchups between the teams in 2010.
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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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