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08/21/2010 - Kansas City, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Yuniesky Betancourt tied the game in the seventh with a grand slam and won the game in the 11th with a run-scoring single, as the Kansas City Royals rallied past the Chicago White Sox, 6-5, in the first game of a doubleheader at Kauffman Stadium.
Betancourt finished a triple shy of the cycle and became just the second Kansas City player to hit three grand slams in a season. Danny Tartabull accomplished the feat in 1988.
Wilson Betemit added a solo homer for the Royals, who have won four of five. Philip Humber, making his second career start and first since 2007, gave up five runs on nine hits over 5 2/3 frames. Jesse Chavez (2-1) tossed two scoreless innings of relief to pick up the win.
<< Lowrie homer leads to Red Sox past Jays in 11
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jed Lowrie led off the bottom of the 11th inning
with the game-winning homer, as Boston outlasted Toronto, 5-4, in the middle
test of a three-game set from Fenway Park.
Lowrie crushed a Casey Janssen (4-2) off
<< Nationals beat Phillies, but Strasburg injured
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Roger Bernadina belted a three-run homer,
and the Washington Nationals, despite losing phenom pitcher Stephen Strasburg
to injury, defeated the Philadelphia Phillies, 8-1, in the second of three
games a
<< Steelers beat Giants in Big Ben's return to game action
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mike Wallace recorded a 68-yard
touchdown reception as Pittsburgh topped the New York Giants, 24-17, in
preseason action from New Meadowlands Stadium.
After sitting out the Detroit game,
<< Schelotto leads Crew to 3-1 win over Rapids
Columbus, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Guillermo Barros Schelotto had a goal and an
assist Saturday, leading the Columbus Crew to a 3-1 victory over the Colorado
Rapids at Crew Stadium.
Schelotto converted a penalty kick in the eighth minute fo
Mets sink Pirates in rain-shortened affair >>
Pittsburgh, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - David Wright hit a three-run homer to back
five strong innings by Jon Niese, as the Mets beat the Pirates, 5-1, in a
rain-shortened contest from PNC Park.
Niese (8-5) gave up one run on five hits a
Marlins P Nolasco to miss start with knee injury >>
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Florida Marlins right-hander Ricky Nolasco will
miss his scheduled start Sunday due to a torn medial meniscus in his right
knee.
Nolasco, who is 14-8 with a 4.22 ERA this season and has won five of his las
Shea helps Dallas slip past Chivas >>
Frisco, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brek Shea's goal in the 71st minute helped FC
Dallas extend its unbeaten streak to 11 games on Saturday at Pizza Hut Park as
the Hoops downed Chivas USA, 1-0.
Shea scored his fifth goal of the season from a
Three-for-three: Kyle Busch sweeps Bristol week >>
Bristol, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kyle Busch became the first driver in NASCAR to
win all three of its national touring series races on the same week after
taking Saturday's IRWIN Tools Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Busch, who won
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
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