Johnson among leaders at Pebble Beach; Tiger five back

Golf Betting Lines

02/09/2012 - Pebble Beach, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dustin Johnson, Danny Lee and Charlie Wi shot rounds of nine-under par Thursday to take the lead after one round of the Pebble Beach National Pro-Am.

Meanwhile, Tiger Woods made his season debut on the PGA Tour and is tied for 15th at minus-four.

The tournament uses three courses in Pebble Beach -- Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula -- for the first three rounds.

Lee and Johnson, who won this event in 2009 and '10, both played Pebble Beach on Thursday and fired rounds of 63. Wi posted the low round of the day -- a 61 -- at Monterey Peninsula.

Ken Duke and Brian Harman both shot eight-under 64s at Pebble Beach and are tied for fourth.

Phil Mickelson posted a two-under 70 at Spyglass Hill, the same course Woods played Thursday.

MORE TO FOLLOW.

Wwwstartribune Golf Betting News

<< Raiders cut CB Stanford Routt
Oakland, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Oakland Raiders released cornerback Stanford Routt on Thursday, just one season after he signed a three-year contract extension. The deal guaranteed Routt $20 million over the first two

<< MLB suspends 2 Mets minor leaguers
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Major League Baseball suspended two New York Mets minor leaguers Thursday. Charles "Dock" Doyle and Scott Moviel both received a 50-game suspension after second violations of the minor league drug prevent

<< Benfica, Aimar agree to one-year extension
Lisbon, Portugal (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Benfica and Argentina midfielder Pablo Aimar agreed to a one-year contract extension Thursday through the 2012-13 season. Aimar, 32, joined Benfica from Spain's Real Zaragoza in 2008 and has played

<< U.S. women add matches against Japan, Brazil
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The U.S. women's national team will play Japan and Brazil in April, with both friendlies being held in Japan as part of the newly-created Women's Kirin Challenge Cup. The U.S. beat Brazil on penalties in the

<< RSL re-signs four, including Espindola, Grabavoy
Sandy, UT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Real Salt Lake re-signed four players Thursday, including forward Fabian Espindola and midfielder Ned Grabavoy. Espindola and Grabavoy combined to make 52 appearances, including 46 starts, last season for Rea

Coastal Carolina's Duran granted sixth season >>
Conway, SC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The NCAA has granted a sixth season of eligibility to Coastal Carolina All-American tight end David Duran for the 2012 season. Duran, from Marietta, Ga., played sparingly for the Chanticleers as a fifth- year s

Nowitzki, Pierce highlight All-Star reserves >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Dallas Mavericks may not be matching their championship-caliber performance from last season, but Dirk Nowitzki is still playing well enough to make the Western Conference All-Star team. Nowitzki, 3

Mississippi State takes care of Ole Miss >>
Starkville, MS (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Arnett Moultrie scored 18 points, Dee Bost had 15 points and 13 assists and No. 20 Mississippi State led all the way in a 70-60 win over Ole Miss on Thursday. Renardo Sidney added 14 points and Rodney

Gray, Duke holds off Boston College >>
Chestnut Hill, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chelsea Gray had 19 points, six rebounds and five assists to lead No. 5 Duke past Boston College on Thursday. Elizabeth Williams added 18 points, 10 rebounds and eight blocks for Duke (20-3, 11-0 AC

No. 8 Maryland breezes past Clemson >>
Clemson, SC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lynetta Kizer led six players in double figures with 18 points, as No. 8 Maryland breezed past Clemson, 91-61, on Thursday. Alicia DeVaughn added 15 points while Tianna Hawkins and Alyssa Thomas both had 14

American Idol Betting Season 6 Strategies  

It's that time of year folks.  Betting on American Idol Season 9.  And we have plenty of American Idol Season 6 strategies appearing below.  With the Top 24 finalists revealed, online gambling sites will be offering betting odds on each of them, including MySportsbook.com.

No other “event” has been growing as fast as wagering on American Idol. It has turned into a huge betting event with reasonably high limits and all sorts of profit-making potential for sharp bettors. Last year, MySportsbook.com experienced unprecedented traffic as a result of the American Idol betting craze.

Every week there will be odds to win American Idol, various elimination props and contestant versus contestant match-ups at the MySportsbook.com website.

Whether a fan of America’s top-rated show or watching only because of a wife or girlfriend, here are some of basic strategies to use when betting American Idol.

Odds to Win

There are a few things to consider when looking for the right win bet. First off, remember that this bet is for the long haul. Many people make the mistake of picking the performer who sang the best the previous week. This strategy leads to an underlay situation – betting a price, which is less than what it should be.

All Idol contestants struggle at some point in the competition, so you should always look for value. In last year’s competition alone, two performers who had some of the best performances early in the series were subsequently bet down to low prices - Lisa Tucker and Ace Young. After just a few weeks, Tucker had already been eliminated, while Young quickly became a huge long shot to win America’s largest talent search.

A better strategy is to look for performers who don’t necessarily get the praise from the judges, but show flashes of the talent necessary to go the distance.

Another important thing to remember when betting any contestant to win is the demographic breakdown of the voters, the viewing public and potential future CD purchasers. Unlike sporting events, American Idol is not decided on the field of play – it’s decided by the American public under the guiding influence of the shows producers.

Understand that the great state of Alabama has a mighty edge when it comes to American Idol. 

Therefore, to be successful betting on American Idol, put any personal opinions or prejudices aside and think like the majority of the voting public. Remember that the typical voter is young, female and quite often, Southern.

If a contestant cannot appeal to this demographic, no matter how much talent he or she possesses, they’ll struggle for votes. Looks, demeanor and charisma are extremely important. And it’s no coincidence that every Idol winner so far has hailed from a Southern state.

Elimination Props

Every week MySportsbook.com anticipates offering a prop on who’ll be eliminated from the show each Wednesday night. A suggestion to handicap this is to gauge an overall feel for who’s the least popular contestant left in the competition. Generally the least popular performers have recently appeared in the bottom three and will have been the target of repeated criticism from the judges.

Last year, resources included dialidol.com and votefortheworst.com. Dialidol.com measures the volume of each contestant’s voting line. While by no means a perfect science, it does give a good indication of who is generating votes and who isn’t. Meanwhile, votefortheworst.com is a site that attempts to build support for the worst competitor to keep them in the competition for ‘entertainment’ value. The site has a proven track record of keeping performers around who most feel should have been voted off a long time ago.

Contestant vs. Contestant Match-ups

The best strategy for doing well on match-ups is to assess how close either of the contestants is to being eliminated. If neither is expected to be voted off of the show in the coming weeks, the value is almost always on the underdog. If both are expecting an imminent exit in the near future, the favorite in the match-up might offer value.

Watch for American Idol betting odds on each of the contestants shortly and good luck with these American Idol betting strategies.

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com - this sportsbook accepts credit cards.

Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.